Luxury investment index
People are still willing to spend on personal luxury items.
Art tops the Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index, but growth is starting to slow or even reverse for other luxury asset classes
The NL real estate | Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index (KFLII) which tracks a weighted basket of 10 luxury collectibles, rose by 7% in the 12 months to the end of June 2023. This was a credible performance compared with house prices in Prime Central London which were down 1% over the same period; the FTSE 100 index of equities, which rose by 5%; and gold which was up in value by just 1%. It was, however, the weakest annual performance by KFLII since Q2 2021, proving that even tangible assets are not immune to market uncertainty.
Art tops the NL real estate | Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index with 12-month growth of 30% as measured by AMR’s All Art index but auction results so far this year suggest growth has peaked.
Watches (10%) and jewellery (10%) complete the top three rankings of the KFLII, highlighting that people are still willing to spend on personal luxury items. Coins come in fourth place with price rises of 8%, followed by the KFLII average at 7%. However, it is the slowdown in the wine (5%) and classic car (5%) markets, both in sixth and seventh place respectively, where double-digit rises that have often underpinned the index’s performance, that have tempered growth. Despite the car market being up 5% on an annual basis, it has fallen 7% so far this year.
Andrew Shirley, editor of the NL real estate | Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index said: “Economic uncertainty and higher interest rates will cast a long shadow on luxury collectibles. Novice collectors should focus on what brings them joy, perhaps that’s more important now that value appreciation is far from guaranteed in these asset classes.”
Coloured diamonds come in eighth place in the index, up 4% in the year to the end of Q2 2023 as coloured diamonds enjoy a rise in interest. Handbags (1%), Furniture (0%) and Rare whisky (-4%) complete the rankings. Rare bottles of whisky, the strongest 10-year performer in the Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index, are the only asset class to see a negative annual performance, according to the index complied by Rare Whisky 101.
“Bottles of rare whisky have had a far more sedate time from a performance perspective over the past three years,” confirms Andy Simpson of industry consultant Simpson Reserved. “Higher value (over £5,000) bottles have re-traced recently due to a myriad of geo-political, social and economic reasons. Certain brands have still performed well, while the market leader (from a sheer volume of market perspective), Macallan, has seen particularly punishing losses with its index re-tracing almost 12% over the past twelve months.”
The NL real estate | Knight Frank luxury index provides further in-depth analysis including:
· Changing social attitudes that are influencing luxury investment markets (page 18, 24 and 44)
o Female artists have seen some of the strongest price growth in the art market over recent years
o The demand for electric supercar conversions is also on the rise as a younger generation of wealthy car fanatics eschew petrol power
· There is an inextricable synergy between residential real estate and lux investments (page 40)
o High-net-worth-individual collections can shape their homes, but equally their homes can shape their collections
o Developers are also increasingly factoring the collecting habits of potential buyers into their collections
· NFTS are down but not out (page 12)
o The value of Covid-era high-profile NFTs has slumped, but digital art works considered to have the right provenance are still selling for large amounts